Sonnet Frisbie
Global affairs thinker, writer, and practitioner
Hi. I’m Sonnet.
I worked as an economic diplomat for over a decade in markets ranging from Central Europe to the Middle East. Now I’m the Deputy Head of Political Intelligence at Morning Consult, a survey data company.
My field is foreign affairs, and my passion is combining quantitative know-how with qualitative understanding to see things others miss. My analysis and commentary have been featured in the New York Times, Axios, the Financial Times, Foreign Policy, The Foreign Service Journal, Bloomberg, Politico, Semafor and more.
I’m originally from Lubbock, Texas, and I’ve formally studied economics, international affairs, and data analytics. I also love foreign language, and I speak Czech, Spanish, German, and Polish.
Reach out to learn more.
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Visit my Morning Consult Author Page
In a private capacity
Jul/Aug 2023 issue. The Foreign Service Journal. Boomerang Diplomats? Another Look at Reappointment.
Morning Consult research notes (selected)
Aug 7, 2024. Globally, Public Support for Palestinians Does Not Equate to Support for Iran
Jul 9, 2024. France Enters a Period of Policy Uncertainty Following Polarizing Snap Elections
Jul 27, 2023. Public Opinion on Immigration and Environment Show Why the Center Held in Spain’s Elections
Jul 06, 2023. How Patriotism Impacts Global Consumer Demand for Domestic Products
Jun 26, 2023. Tracking Sentiment in Russia After Wagner Group’s March on Moscow.
May 23, 2023. Americans Favor Tighter Review of Foreign Land Ownership in Light of Chinese Espionage Concerns.
May 02, 2023. Earthquake Barely Shakes Erdogan’s Support Weeks Before Key Turkish Elections
Apr 04, 2023. Europe Wants to ‘De-Risk’ Its China Relationship. Or Does It?
Mar 17, 2023. Tech Workers Take Another Look at Defense in Light of Layoffs
Feb 15, 2023. One Year of War Has Made Russians More Militaristic, Nationalistic and Closed to Foreign Business.
Jan 17, 2023. Frisbie, Sonnet and Scott Moskowitz. India in Between: Modi’s Delicate Dance of Diplomatic Moderation Offers Risks and Rewards
Jan 09, 2023. For Gen Z, the Future of Corporate Activism Is Local First, Global Second
Oct 19, 2022. Are Cryptocurrencies and CBDCs Rivals? Not to Consumers
Sep 20, 2022. Despite the Body’s Global Popularity, Republicans’ Views of the United Nations Will Constrain U.S. Engagement
Jul 19, 2022. Europeans’ Mistrust of U.S. Data Handling Bodes Ill for New Trans-Atlantic Data Privacy Framework
Jul 07, 2022. Jumping on the ‘Friend-Shoring’ Bandwagon Will Yield Marginal Revenue Benefits for Most Companies
May 20, 2022. U.S.-E.U. Coordination on Artificial Intelligence Shouldn’t Ignore U.S. Voters’ Concerns About Jobs
May 12, 2022. For Companies That Stayed in Russia, the Risk of Reputational Blowback is Strong When and Where Awareness is High
Cross Country and Thematic Reports
Jan. 8, 2024. McMann, Jason, Sonnet Frisbie. The Year Ahead in Geopolitical Risk: 2024 report.
Nov 29, 2023. The State of Trans-Atlantic Relations: H2 2023 Report.
Jun 13, 2022. Principato, Charlotte, Sonnet Frisbie and Jesse Wheeler. The Crypto Report: Our Analysts on the State of Cryptocurrency.
Global Corporate Purpose Tracker. Morning Consult. Quarterly tracker series.
Aug 31, 2022. McMann, Jason, Sonnet Frisbie and Scott Moskowitz. Introducing Morning Consult’s U.S. Foreign Policy Sentiment Indexes.
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2022 Frankfurt Forum on US-European GeoEconomics: Data Deep Dive Part 1
2022 Frankfurt Forum on US-European GeoEconomics: Data Deep Dive Part 2
Frankfurt Main Finance Food for Thought: The Impact of U.S. Elections on Relations with Europe
CIEE International Exchange Conference, Impact 2024: November Elections and BridgeUSA
STRIDE Conference PAC 2022: Global purpose in light of Russia/Ukraine
Public Affairs Council: Direction of Global Risk – Trends, Challenges and Opportunities
Public Affairs Council: Communicating Your Global Brand
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Broadcast Media Appearances
Dec 1, 2023. Deutsche Welle: The Day. Topic: The Trans-Atlantic alliance and support for Ukraine.
Jul 7, 2023. Sirius XM Radio: Julie Mason Show. Topic: Patriotism and preference for local goods internationally
Feb 8, 2023. CNBC crypto world. Recorded interview. Topic: Cryptocurrency Really Is a Trustless Asset After a Disastrous 2023
Feb 6, 2023. NPR’s Marketplace. Live radio. Topic: Global geopolitical outlook.
Jan 11, 2023. Nasdaq Trade Talks. Live TV. Topic: For Gen Z, the Future of Corporate Activism Is Local First, Global Second
Sep 20, 2022. Bloomberg Triple Take. Live TV. Topic: U.S. engagement in the UN post-2022 midterms
Aug 1, 2022. Yahoo! Finance. Live TV. Topic: Grain Shipments out of Odessa, Ukraine.
Print Media Citations (selected)
Sep. 20, 2024. Politico Europe. Sept 20 Brussels Playbook.
Mar. 28, 2024. The New York Times. The World’s Unpopular Leaders.
Jan. 15, 2024. Time. New Polling Shows How Much Global Support Israel Has Lost.
Sep 18, 2023. Axios Exclusive. Caitlin Owens. Security concerns give GOP edge on the opioid crisis.
Aug. 16, 2023. The Economist. Banyan. What India’s foreign-news coverage says about its world-view.
June. 16, 2023. Foreign Policy. Bibek Bhandari. India and China Are Locked in a Cycle of Mutual Spite.
Mar 17, 2023. Axios. Sam Sabin. Exclusive: New poll finds tech workers considering defense work amid layoffs.
Feb 08, 2023. Axios. Brady Dale. Charted: A currency crisis as seen on chain.
Jan 18, 2023. Foreign Policy. Michael Kugelman. South Asia Brief.
Jan 18, 2023. Bloomberg News. Eltaf Najafizada. Indians View US as Biggest Threat After China, Survey Shows.
Jan 17, 2023. Insider Intelligence. eMarketer Daily. Sara Lebow, Arielle Feger, and Becky Schilling.
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Foreign Service Women professional matching algorithm
Description: By using the Hungarian method coupled with original survey data from women in foreign affairs agencies, I match roughly 500 women to appropriate reviewers each year since 2021. This project was nominated for the annual “Data at State” award.
Code:here
Chinese Debt and Soft Power as Measured through Country Recommendations in the UN Universal Periodic Review.
·This is an independent research project in which I coupled analysis of statements in the UN Universal Periodic Review of human rights with data on Chinese investment to show the relationship between Chinese lending and changes in such comments in the UPR. Techniques used included NLP sentiment analysis, Difference in difference, ordinary least squares regressions, and RShiny and html for presentation. Presented at IPES 2021 and the 2021 Joint Conference on Human Rights & Foreign Policy
Code: here
In addition to the public projects highlighted here, I have utilized a variety of advanced analytical techniques to drive insights in previous roles:
Principal Component Analysis (PCA): Applied to distill complex datasets into key factors influencing political and economic behavior.
Random Forest Classification and Regression Models: Used in predictive modeling to evaluate the risk of civil unrest in a given period.
Causal Survey Experiments: Designed and executed experiments to establish cause-and-effect relationships, providing deeper insights into consumer behavior as relates to political sentiment.
Big Data Correlational Studies: Analyzed datasets with millions of observations to identify patterns and relationships between key variables in global political and commercial contexts.
R to PowerPoint Pipelines: Developed automated workflows to streamline data visualization and presentation, tailored to specific client or organizational branding needs.
API Integration & JSON Parsing: Created custom scripts to extract, process, and analyze political data from APIs, providing real-time insights.
Advanced ggplot Customization: Produced sophisticated visualizations aligned with corporate design standards, ensuring clear communication of complex data insights.